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Current U.S. Drought Map

NOAA Climate Prediction Center Forecast Maps

Click on any image to expand. These were updated as of 06/18/2026

We look to be headed into Strong El Nino. What does an El Nino year mean for me?


A strong El Niño occurs when unusually warm ocean temperatures develop across the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, altering global weather patterns. In the United States, a strong El Niño often shifts the jet stream and changes where storms track during the fall, winter, and spring months. Typical U.S. impacts of a strong El Niño include: Wetter-than-average conditions across the southern U.S. increasing the likelihood of heavy rain, flooding, and severe storms.
Drier-than-average conditions in parts of the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, which can reduce winter snowpack in some areas.
Milder winters across the northern tier of states, with warmer temperatures and fewer extreme cold outbreaks.  While El Niño strongly influences seasonal weather patterns, it does not determine every storm or weather event. Local conditions and other climate factors can enhance or offset typical El Niño effects. The bottom line is A strong El Niño generally favors a wetter southern United States, a drier Pacific Northwest, milder northern winters, and fewer Atlantic hurricanes, with the greatest impacts usually occurring from late fall through spring.